Dr. Katsu Goda

Earthquake, Tsunami, Risk Assessment, Catastrophe Modeling

Associate Professor & Canada Research Chair in Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment
Office: BGS 1076
Phone: 519-661-2111 x. 83189
Fax: 519-661-3198
Email: kgoda2@uwo.ca

Research Interests

Dr. Goda’s research is focused on catastrophic earthquake-related multi-hazard risk management from economic and societal viewpoints. His research interests are broad and multidisciplinary, and cover a wide range of academic fields, including engineering seismology, earthquake engineering, tsunami engineering, financial risk analysis, and decision-making under uncertainty.

Some examples of his research interests are:

  • Probabilistic seismic hazard and risk analysis
  • Ground motion prediction model
  • Strong motion simulation (stochastic finite-fault modeling)
  • Performance-based earthquake engineering (including nonlinear dynamic analysis of structures)
  • Lifecycle cost analysis of a building (including the effects of decision maker’s risk attitudes)
  • Effectiveness of seismic risk mitigation techniques (tuned mass dampers and seismic isolation)
  • Seismic loss estimation of spatially distributed structures
  • Financial seismic risk analysis (e.g. insurance and catastrophe bonds)
  • Seismic risk management and decision-making
  • Tsunami hazard and risk modeling and analysis
  • Multi-hazards risk assessment due to mega-thrust subduction earthquakes

For more detailed information please check my ResearchGate webpage (https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Katsuichiro_Goda).

Selected publications

  • Goda, K. (2023). Statistical modeling of full-margin rupture recurrence for Cascadia subduction zone using event time resampling and Gaussian mixture method. Geoscience Letters, 10, 52. doi: 10.1186/s40562-023-00306-6.
  • Rimando, J., Peace, A., Goda, K., Sirous, N.*, Rosset, P., and Chouinard, L. (2023). Coseismic coulomb stress changes on intraplate faults in the Western Quebec Seismic Zone, Canada: implications for seismic hazards. Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences, 60(12), 1674–1687. doi: 10.1139/cjes-2023-0025.
  • Holmgren, J. M., Werner, M. J., Goda, K., Villani, M., Silva, V., Chindandali, P., and Stevens, V. (2023). A relocated ground-motion database for the southern East African Rift system. Earthquake Spectra, 39(3), 1911–1929, doi: 10.1177/87552930231173450.
  • Momeni, P., Goda, K., Mokhtari, M., and Heidarzadeh, M. (2023). A new tsunami hazard assessment for eastern Makran subduction zone by considering splay faults and applying stochastic modeling. Coastal Engineering Journal, 65(1), 67–96, doi: 10.1080/21664250.2022.2117585.
  • Goda, K., and Shoaeifar, P. (2022). Probabilistic fault displacement hazard analysis using stochastic source models: a prospective evaluation for the Leach River Valley fault zone. GeoHazards, 3(2), 277–293, doi: 10.3390/geohazards3020015.
  • Mengal, A.*, Goda, K., Ashraf, M., and Murtaza, G. (2021). Social vulnerability to seismic-tsunami hazards in District Gwadar, Balochistan, Pakistan. Natural Hazards, 108, 1159–1181, doi: 10.1007/s11069-021-04724-7.
  • Goda, K., Wilhelm, K.*, and Ren, J. (2020). Relationships between earthquake insurance take-up rates and seismic risk indicators for Canadian households. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 50, 101754, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101754.
  • Zhang, L.*, Werner, M.J., and Goda, K. (2020). Stability of ETAS parameters in global subduction zones and applications to mainshock-aftershock hazard assessment. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 110(1), 191–212, doi: 10.1785/0120190121.


  • ES 2222: Data Analysis and Signal Processing in Earth Sciences
  • ES 3320/ GP 9520: Environmental and Exploration Geophysics II
  • GP/HRR 9573: Natural Catastrophes – Modelling, Assessing, and Mitigating the Impact

Future Students

Dr. Goda is accepting Geophysics student applications in the field of earthquake and tsunami hazard and risk assessments.