Dr. Katsu Goda

Earthquake, Tsunami, Risk Assessment, Catastrophe Modeling

Associate Professor & Canada Research Chair in Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment
Office: BGS 1076
Phone: 519-661-2111 x. 83189
Fax: 519-661-3198
Email: kgoda2@uwo.ca

Research Interests

Dr. Goda’s research is focused on catastrophic earthquake-related multi-hazard risk management from economic and societal viewpoints. His research interests are broad and multidisciplinary, and cover a wide range of academic fields, including engineering seismology, earthquake engineering, tsunami engineering, financial risk analysis, and decision-making under uncertainty.

Some examples of his research interests are:

  • Probabilistic seismic hazard and risk analysis
  • Ground motion prediction model
  • Strong motion simulation (stochastic finite-fault modeling)
  • Performance-based earthquake engineering (including nonlinear dynamic analysis of structures)
  • Lifecycle cost analysis of a building (including the effects of decision maker’s risk attitudes)
  • Effectiveness of seismic risk mitigation techniques (tuned mass dampers and seismic isolation)
  • Seismic loss estimation of spatially distributed structures
  • Financial seismic risk analysis (e.g. insurance and catastrophe bonds)
  • Seismic risk management and decision-making
  • Tsunami hazard and risk modeling and analysis
  • Multi-hazards risk assessment due to mega-thrust subduction earthquakes

For more detailed information please check my ResearchGate webpage (https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Katsuichiro_Goda).

Selected publications

  • Goda, K., and De Risi, R. (2018). Multi-hazard loss estimation for shaking and tsunami using stochastic rupture sources. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 28, 539-554 (doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.01.002).

  • Muhammad, A., Goda, K., Alexander, N. A., Kongko, W., and Muhari, A. (2017). Tsunami evacuation plans for future megathrust earthquakes in Padang, Indonesia considering stochastic earthquake scenarios. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 17(12), 2245-2270 (doi: 10.5194/nhess-17-2245-2017).

  • Goda, K., Petrone, C., De Risi, R., and Rossetto, T. (2017). Stochastic coupled simulation of strong motion and tsunami for the 2011 Tohoku, Japan earthquake. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 31(9), 2337-2355 (doi: 10.1007/s00477-016-1352-1).

  • Goda, K. (2017). Probabilistic characterization of seismic deformation due to tectonic fault movements. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 100, 316-329 (doi: 10.1016/j.soildyn.2017.05.039).

  • Goda, K., Gibson, E. D., Smith, H. R., Biggs, J., and Hodge, M. (2016). Seismic risk assessment of urban and rural settlements around Lake Malawi. Frontiers in Built Environment, 2(30), (doi: 10.3389/fbuil.2016.00030).

  • Goda, K., Yasuda, T., Mori, N., and Maruyama, T. (2016). New scaling relationships of earthquake source parameters for stochastic tsunami simulation. Coastal Engineering Journal, 58(3), 1650010 (doi: 10.1142/S0578563416500108).

  • Goda, K., Kiyota, T., Pokhrel, R. M., Chiaro, G., Katagiri, T., Sharma, K., and Wilkinson, S. (2015). The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake: insights from earthquake damage survey. Frontiers in Built Environment, 1(8) (doi: 10.3389/fbuil.2015.00008).

  • Goda, K., and Tesfamariam, S. (2015). Multi-variate seismic demand modelling using copulas: application to non-ductile reinforced concrete frame in Victoria, Canada. Structural Safety, 56(1), 39-51 (doi: 10.1016/j.strusafe.2015.05.004).

  • Goda, K., Yasuda, T., Mori, N., and Mai, P. M. (2015). Variability of tsunami inundation footprints considering stochastic scenarios based on a single rupture model: application to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 120(6), 4552-4575 (doi: 10.1002/2014JC010626).

  • Goda, K., Kurahashi, S., Ghofrani, H., Atkinson, G. M., and Irikura, K. (2015). Nonlinear response potential of real versus simulated ground motions for the 11th March 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. Earthquake Spectra, 31(3), 1711-1734 (doi: 10.1193/071213EQS201M).

  • Goda, K., Mai, P. M., Yasuda, T., and Mori, N. (2014). Sensitivity of tsunami wave profiles and inundation simulations to earthquake slip and fault geometry for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Earth, Planets and Space, 66, 105 (doi: 10.1186/1880-5981-66-105).

  • Goda, K. (2013). Basis risk of earthquake catastrophe bond trigger using scenario-based versus station-intensity-based approaches: a case study for south-western British Columbia. Earthquake Spectra, 29(3), 757-775 (doi: 10.1193/1.4000164).

  • Goda, K. (2012). Nonlinear response potential of mainshock-aftershock sequences from Japanese earthquakes. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 102(5), 2139-2156 (doi: 10.1785/012011032).

  • Goda, K. (2011). Inter-event variability of spatial correlation of peak ground motions and response spectra. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 101(4), 2522-2531 (doi: 10.1785/0120110092).



Current Students


Future Students

Dr. Goda currently has openings for M.Sc. and Ph.D. students interested in studying various aspects of earthquake-tsunami catastrophe modeling and disaster risk management (falling within a multidisciplinary field of engineering seismology, earthquake-tsunami engineering, and financial risk analysis). Interested students should contact Dr. Goda for more information.